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INSIGHTS

Mikhail Samonov
May 27, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation

Volatility vs Risk

Mikhail Samonov
May 27, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation
Volatility vs Risk

A black-box hedge fund might be less volatile than S&P500, but is it less risky?

1 Comment
Mikhail Samonov
May 20, 2019
Factor Investing

What is better: Factor Zoo or Factor Museum?

Mikhail Samonov
May 20, 2019
Factor Investing
What is better: Factor Zoo or Factor Museum?

Here are my 8-thoughts and 1 solution idea about Campbell Harvey and Yan Liu recently released paper on their influential concept of the factor zoo.

Mikhail Samonov
May 13, 2019
Factor Investing

10 Large Scale Factor Anomaly Studies with Definitions

Mikhail Samonov
May 13, 2019
Factor Investing
10 Large Scale Factor Anomaly Studies with Definitions

There is a growing trend of academic papers that study large sets of factor anomalies at a time. Here are my top 10.

Mikhail Samonov
May 6, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation

What if Asset Managers Switched with Advisors?

Mikhail Samonov
May 6, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation
What if Asset Managers Switched with Advisors?

One thing has not made sense to me.

Why does the most important step of investing is in the hands of Financial Advisors and not Asset Managers?

Mikhail Samonov
April 29, 2019
Factor Investing

12 Books on Factor Investing by Asset Managers

Mikhail Samonov
April 29, 2019
Factor Investing
12 Books on Factor Investing by Asset Managers
  1. Quantitative Portfolio Management by Edward Qian, Ronald Hua, Eric Sorensen

  2. Expected Returns by Antti Ilmanen

  3. Quantitative Value by Wesley Gray and Tobias Carlisle

2 Comments
Mikhail Samonov
April 22, 2019
Active Investing

12 Quant Business Practices to Improve

Mikhail Samonov
April 22, 2019
Active Investing
12 Quant Business Practices to Improve
  1. Only showing the latest backtest versions without disclosing their out-of-sample degradation

  2. Backtesting today’s static holdings (managers, asset allocations, sub-asset-classes) into the past - filled with look-ahead bias

Mikhail Samonov
April 15, 2019
Active Investing

Months Before AIG Went Bankrupt

Mikhail Samonov
April 15, 2019
Active Investing
Months Before AIG Went Bankrupt

It was at the beginning of 2008, at our downtown office on Pine Street in Manhattan. I was a young quant portfolio manager at AIG and I was standing in the office of one of my mentors.

Mikhail Samonov
April 8, 2019
Active Investing

The First Risk and Opportunity in Active Investing

Mikhail Samonov
April 8, 2019
Active Investing
The First Risk and Opportunity in Active Investing

What is the most significant risk in quant (and all active) investing today?

Mikhail Samonov
April 1, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation

Inverted Yield Curve: Danger or Noise?

Mikhail Samonov
April 1, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation
Inverted Yield Curve: Danger or Noise?

The slope of the yield curve is one of the most talked about signals

Mikhail Samonov
March 25, 2019
Active Investing

AI and Alternative Data in Investing - Hype or Reality?

Mikhail Samonov
March 25, 2019
Active Investing
AI and Alternative Data in Investing - Hype or Reality?

Having just attended a great AI conference in New York, here are some observations:

2 Comments
Mikhail Samonov
March 18, 2019
Active Investing

10 Ways to Combine Quant and Fundamental Approaches that Work (and 10 that don't)

Mikhail Samonov
March 18, 2019
Active Investing
10 Ways to Combine Quant and Fundamental Approaches that Work (and 10 that don't)

Can quantitative and fundamental approaches be successfully combined?

The short answer is: Yes

Mikhail Samonov
March 11, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation

The Largest Cost Facing Investors Today

Mikhail Samonov
March 11, 2019
Dynamic Asset Allocation
The Largest Cost Facing Investors Today

There exist many flavors of market timing.

1 Comment
Mikhail Samonov
March 4, 2019
Factor Investing

Value, Momentum and Basis in Commodity Futures: 1877-2017

Mikhail Samonov
March 4, 2019
Factor Investing
Value, Momentum and Basis in Commodity Futures: 1877-2017

We use hand-collected futures data to extend the well-known cross-sectional Value, Momentum and Basis factors in commodity futures back to 1877.

Mikhail Samonov
February 25, 2019
Active Investing

What Do Warren Buffett, George Soros, and Ray Dalio have in common besides being famous investors?

Mikhail Samonov
February 25, 2019
Active Investing
What Do Warren Buffett, George Soros, and Ray Dalio have in common besides being famous investors?

They can’t do each other’s jobs well.

Mikhail Samonov
February 18, 2019
Active Investing

What is Worse: Data-Mining or Not Innovating?

Mikhail Samonov
February 18, 2019
Active Investing
What is Worse: Data-Mining or Not Innovating?

In most decisions including investing, there are two ways to be wrong:

  • Doing something that doesn’t work

  • Not doing something that would have worked

Mikhail Samonov
February 11, 2019
Active Investing

Where Does Alpha Come From?

Mikhail Samonov
February 11, 2019
Active Investing
Where Does Alpha Come From?

In Finance, Asset managers often hit this wall: “Alpha Is So Hard”.

The market is impossible to beat. Alpha is dead…

Mikhail Samonov
February 4, 2019
DB_Strategy, Dynamic Asset Allocation

Two Risks That Ruin Long-Run Investing

Mikhail Samonov
February 4, 2019
DB_Strategy, Dynamic Asset Allocation
Two Risks That Ruin Long-Run Investing

The first risk of investing is the Drawdown Risk - the loss from the peak. The second risk of investing is the Low Return Risk - the under-performance vs. expectations over a stretched period of time.

Tagged: Asset Allocation

1 Comment
Mikhail Samonov
January 28, 2019
Factor Investing

A Growing List of Long-Run Factor Studies

Mikhail Samonov
January 28, 2019
Factor Investing
A Growing List of Long-Run Factor Studies

While there exists a well-established (at least a century-old) academic interest in the long-run properties of asset class returns, only during the past decade has there emerged literature studying the cross-sectional factors over the long-run.

Mikhail Samonov
January 21, 2019
Factor Investing

Relevance of Long-Run Historical Data Today: Case of Price Momentum Crashes

Mikhail Samonov
January 21, 2019
Factor Investing
Relevance of Long-Run Historical Data Today: Case of Price Momentum Crashes

Many people ask why I look at long historical data when today is very different from distant past.

Mikhail Samonov
January 14, 2019
Factor Investing

Top Free Factor Investing Tools and Data Websites

Mikhail Samonov
January 14, 2019
Factor Investing
Top Free Factor Investing Tools and Data Websites

Here are some of the best free sites that I recommend for factor investing:

1 Comment
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